The Most Terrifying Stock Market Chart


The stock market keeps hitting record highs. Economic growth is steadily rising. Interest rates remain low. And inflation is of no concern.

On the surface, everything sounds great.

But Wall Street pros point to a number of alarming market charts that show a different story. For example, the CBOE Volatility Index (also known as the VIX or “fear gauge”) seems stuck at record lows. The VIX typically tracks around 20. This year it reached 23 year lows of 9.04. The lack of investor pessimism has the pros worried.

Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab said, “the stock market has boosted investor optimism, but may have also bred complacency about ongoing risks.”

In other words, euphoric investors are “hooked” on the record-setting market. But they refuse to pay attention to obvious signs a big market correction is right around the corner.

But that may not be the worst of it.

According to Megan Green, chief economist at Manulife Asset Management, consumers are in debt up to their eyeballs.

She says there is a “breakdown in the relationship between incomes and savings.” This suggests that the typical U.S. consumer – who drives every economic recovery to date in this country – “may be near the end of the credit cycle.”

Perhaps scariest of all is the sentiment shared by Peter Tchir, managing director at Academy Securities Inc. Mr. Tchir said point blank, “It scares me that I don’t havea ‘scary’ chart.”

Mr. Tchir is right. This might be the most terrifying chart of all. Nothing seems very concerning. Those things that do seem concerning have been around for so long investors are used to them. The entire situation defies logic. That’s why, from Wall Street to Main Street, investors don’t know what to make of the current market.

But one thing’s for sure. At some point, the rallies will turn into slumps. The euphoria will spin into misery. Millions of naïve investors, who thought the good times would never end, will watch in horror as their portfolios are decimated.

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